Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

35%

Watford

2.85

32%

Draw

3.16

33%

Wrexham

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Watford xG

Total xG

2.23

1.09

Wrexham xG

35%
32%
33%
WatfordDrawWrexham

2.85

35%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

33%

Watford

2.99

32%

Wrexham

3.10

Win to Nil

12%

Watford

8.51

11%

Wrexham

9.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 11.8 6.5 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.9 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 2.225
League avg home goals 1.290
League avg away goals 1.195
Watford attack strength 0.934
Watford defence strength 0.959
Wrexham attack strength 0.955
Wrexham defence strength 0.938
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 37