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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 9 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

52%

Watford

1.93

24%

Draw

4.08

24%

Sheffield Wednesday

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Watford xG

Total xG

2.72

1.05

Sheffield Wednesday xG

52%
24%
24%
WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday

1.93

52%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

Watford

2.85

19%

Sheffield Wednesday

5.34

Win to Nil

18%

Watford

5.50

4%

Sheffield Wednesday

22.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.9 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.675
λ Away (xG) 1.049
Total xG 2.724
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.223
Watford attack strength 1.164
Watford defence strength 0.954
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 0.899
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64