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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sheffield Wednesday Win

36%

Watford

2.78

27%

Draw

3.68

37%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Watford xG

Total xG

2.48

1.25

Sheffield Wednesday xG

36%
27%
37%
WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday

2.78

36%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

29%

Watford

3.48

29%

Sheffield Wednesday

3.41

Win to Nil

10%

Watford

9.70

11%

Sheffield Wednesday

9.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.5 6.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 12.9 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.3 7.9 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 2.475
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.004
Watford attack strength 0.826
Watford defence strength 1.046
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 1.189
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91