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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

40%

Watford

2.52

32%

Draw

3.11

28%

Sheffield Utd

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Watford xG

Total xG

2.21

0.99

Sheffield Utd xG

40%
32%
28%
WatfordDrawSheffield Utd

2.52

40%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

37%

Watford

2.69

29%

Sheffield Utd

3.40

Win to Nil

15%

Watford

6.78

8%

Sheffield Utd

12.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 10.8 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.2 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.2 8.1 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.3 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.224
λ Away (xG) 0.991
Total xG 2.215
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.150
Watford attack strength 0.942
Watford defence strength 0.920
Sheffield Utd attack strength 0.937
Sheffield Utd defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88