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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

36%

Watford

2.82

33%

Draw

3.07

32%

Sheffield Utd

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Watford xG

Total xG

2.10

1.01

Sheffield Utd xG

36%
33%
32%
WatfordDrawSheffield Utd

2.82

36%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

36%

Watford

2.76

34%

Sheffield Utd

2.96

Win to Nil

13%

Watford

7.77

11%

Sheffield Utd

9.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 7.3 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.086
λ Away (xG) 1.015
Total xG 2.101
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.008
Watford attack strength 0.924
Watford defence strength 0.867
Sheffield Utd attack strength 1.162
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 25