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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

38%

Watford

2.60

28%

Draw

3.55

33%

QPR

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Watford xG

Total xG

2.32

1.11

QPR xG

38%
28%
33%
WatfordDrawQPR

2.60

38%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

33%

Watford

3.03

30%

QPR

3.36

Win to Nil

13%

Watford

7.89

10%

QPR

10.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.9 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.2 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.2 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 1.109
Total xG 2.321
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.122
Watford attack strength 0.933
Watford defence strength 0.981
QPR attack strength 1.007
QPR defence strength 0.976
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47