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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

69%

Watford

1.45

22%

Draw

4.65

9%

Portsmouth

10.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

3 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Watford xG

Total xG

2.68

0.64

Portsmouth xG

69%
22%
WatfordDrawPortsmouth

1.45

69%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

10.64

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

53%

Watford

1.90

13%

Portsmouth

7.69

Win to Nil

36%

Watford

2.75

1%

Portsmouth

81.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 4.4 1.4 0.3
1 14.0 9.0 2.9 0.6 0.1
2 14.3 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 9.7 6.2 2.0 0.4 0.1
4 4.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
5 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.040
λ Away (xG) 0.641
Total xG 2.681
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.025
Watford attack strength 0.970
Watford defence strength 0.726
Portsmouth attack strength 0.861
Portsmouth defence strength 1.502
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 20