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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Watford Win
53%
1.89
26%
3.79
21%
4.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.52
Watford xG
Total xG
2.37
0.85
Plymouth xG
WatfordDrawPlymouth
1.89
53%
Home win
3.79
26%
Draw
4.82
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
43%
2.33
22%
4.57
Win to Nil
23%
4.42
5%
22.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.4 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.2 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.519
λ Away (xG)
0.848
Total xG
2.367
League avg home goals
1.339
League avg away goals
1.028
Watford attack strength
0.830
Watford defence strength
1.131
Plymouth attack strength
0.730
Plymouth defence strength
1.367
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
84 / 84