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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

57%

Watford

1.77

24%

Draw

4.16

19%

Norwich

5.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Watford xG

Total xG

2.64

0.91

Norwich xG

57%
24%
19%
WatfordDrawNorwich

1.77

57%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

5.17

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

40%

Watford

2.48

18%

Norwich

5.66

Win to Nil

23%

Watford

4.39

3%

Norwich

29.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.3 11.2 5.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.7 9.7 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.733
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.230
Watford attack strength 1.107
Watford defence strength 0.867
Norwich attack strength 0.853
Norwich defence strength 1.172
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64