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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

47%

Watford

2.11

30%

Draw

3.39

23%

Norwich

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Watford xG

Total xG

2.21

0.86

Norwich xG

47%
30%
23%
WatfordDrawNorwich

2.11

47%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

42%

Watford

2.37

26%

Norwich

3.87

Win to Nil

20%

Watford

4.99

6%

Norwich

16.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 9.4 4.1 1.2 0.3
1 14.8 12.7 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.0 8.6 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 4.5 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.352
λ Away (xG) 0.862
Total xG 2.214
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.037
Watford attack strength 0.910
Watford defence strength 1.027
Norwich attack strength 0.809
Norwich defence strength 1.079
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75