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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

56%

Watford

1.79

26%

Draw

3.90

18%

Millwall

5.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Watford xG

Total xG

2.44

0.82

Millwall xG

56%
26%
18%
WatfordDrawMillwall

1.79

56%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

5.45

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

44%

Watford

2.27

20%

Millwall

5.07

Win to Nil

25%

Watford

4.05

4%

Millwall

27.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.1 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.1 11.6 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.4 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.2 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.623
λ Away (xG) 0.819
Total xG 2.442
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.139
Watford attack strength 1.150
Watford defence strength 0.883
Millwall attack strength 0.814
Millwall defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 72