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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

35%

Watford

2.86

32%

Draw

3.16

33%

Millwall

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Watford xG

Total xG

2.07

1.02

Millwall xG

35%
32%
33%
WatfordDrawMillwall

2.86

35%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

36%

Watford

2.78

35%

Millwall

2.86

Win to Nil

13%

Watford

7.94

12%

Millwall

8.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 12.9 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.0 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.051
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.072
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.037
Watford attack strength 0.849
Watford defence strength 1.129
Millwall attack strength 0.873
Millwall defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 81