Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Tue 11 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

25%

Watford

4.04

30%

Draw

3.38

46%

Leeds

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Watford xG

Total xG

2.19

1.30

Leeds xG

25%
30%
46%
WatfordDrawLeeds

4.04

25%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

27%

Watford

3.67

41%

Leeds

2.42

Win to Nil

7%

Watford

14.83

19%

Leeds

5.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 14.6 9.5 4.1 1.3 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.884
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.049
Watford attack strength 0.832
Watford defence strength 1.034
Leeds attack strength 1.200
Leeds defence strength 0.780
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 77