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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Derby Win
23%
4.30
27%
3.76
50%
2.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.04
Watford xG
Total xG
2.66
1.62
Derby xG
WatfordDrawDerby
4.30
23%
Home win
3.76
27%
Draw
2.00
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.12
Clean Sheet
20%
5.07
35%
2.82
Win to Nil
5%
21.80
18%
5.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 11.3 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 7.2 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.037
λ Away (xG)
1.624
Total xG
2.661
League avg home goals
1.296
League avg away goals
1.175
Watford attack strength
0.974
Watford defence strength
1.029
Derby attack strength
1.343
Derby defence strength
0.822
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
78 / 78