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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

25%

Watford

4.04

31%

Draw

3.21

44%

Coventry

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Watford xG

Total xG

2.30

1.34

Coventry xG

25%
31%
44%
WatfordDrawCoventry

4.04

25%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

26%

Watford

3.84

39%

Coventry

2.59

Win to Nil

6%

Watford

15.50

17%

Coventry

5.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 13.5 9.1 4.1 1.4 0.4
1 9.6 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.6 6.1 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.952
λ Away (xG) 1.345
Total xG 2.297
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.204
Watford attack strength 0.869
Watford defence strength 0.963
Coventry attack strength 1.161
Coventry defence strength 0.835
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91