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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

45%

Watford

2.22

31%

Draw

3.21

24%

Charlton

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Watford xG

Total xG

2.14

0.86

Charlton xG

45%
31%
24%
WatfordDrawCharlton

2.22

45%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

42%

Watford

2.36

28%

Charlton

3.59

Win to Nil

19%

Watford

5.25

7%

Charlton

15.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.1 4.4 1.2 0.3
1 15.1 13.0 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.6 8.3 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.1 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.278
λ Away (xG) 0.860
Total xG 2.138
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.206
Watford attack strength 0.937
Watford defence strength 0.877
Charlton attack strength 0.813
Charlton defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 40