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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
19%
5.30
32%
3.08
49%
2.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
20.7%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
18.7%
Draw
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.57
Watford xG
Total xG
1.68
1.11
Burnley xG
WatfordDrawBurnley
5.30
19%
Home win
3.08
32%
Draw
2.06
49%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
29%
BTTS Yes
3.44
71%
BTTS No
1.41
Clean Sheet
33%
3.03
57%
1.77
Win to Nil
6%
16.03
28%
3.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.7 | 20.7 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 11.8 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.569
λ Away (xG)
1.107
Total xG
1.676
League avg home goals
1.264
League avg away goals
0.993
Watford attack strength
0.805
Watford defence strength
1.012
Burnley attack strength
1.102
Burnley defence strength
0.559
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
88 / 42