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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Watford Win
63%
1.60
23%
4.26
14%
7.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.9%
Home win
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.81
Watford xG
Total xG
2.54
0.73
Birmingham xG
WatfordDrawBirmingham
1.60
63%
Home win
4.26
23%
Draw
7.15
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.28
56%
BTTS No
1.78
Clean Sheet
48%
2.08
16%
6.10
Win to Nil
30%
3.32
2%
43.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.3 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.808
λ Away (xG)
0.730
Total xG
2.538
League avg home goals
1.361
League avg away goals
1.151
Watford attack strength
1.093
Watford defence strength
0.924
Birmingham attack strength
0.686
Birmingham defence strength
1.215
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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