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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Swansea Win
46%
2.18
32%
3.08
22%
4.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.7%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.24
Swansea xG
Total xG
2.00
0.77
Stoke City xG
SwanseaDrawStoke City
2.18
46%
Home win
3.08
32%
Draw
4.64
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.54
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
47%
2.15
29%
3.44
Win to Nil
21%
4.67
6%
15.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.5 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.7 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.3 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.236
λ Away (xG)
0.765
Total xG
2.001
League avg home goals
1.309
League avg away goals
1.212
Swansea attack strength
1.098
Swansea defence strength
0.859
Stoke City attack strength
0.735
Stoke City defence strength
0.860
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
81 / 81