🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Southampton Win
37%
2.74
25%
3.93
38%
2.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
2 – 1
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.65
Swansea xG
Total xG
3.34
1.69
Southampton xG
SwanseaDrawSouthampton
2.74
37%
Home win
3.93
25%
Draw
2.63
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
67%
BTTS Yes
1.49
33%
BTTS No
3.04
Clean Sheet
19%
5.39
19%
5.21
Win to Nil
7%
14.75
7%
13.72
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 9.9 | 8.3 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.651
λ Away (xG)
1.685
Total xG
3.336
League avg home goals
1.276
League avg away goals
1.150
Swansea attack strength
1.096
Swansea defence strength
1.019
Southampton attack strength
1.439
Southampton defence strength
1.181
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
88 / 42