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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 9 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

49%

Swansea

2.03

25%

Draw

4.00

26%

Portsmouth

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.72

1.10

Portsmouth xG

49%
25%
26%
SwanseaDrawPortsmouth

2.03

49%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

33%

Swansea

3.01

20%

Portsmouth

5.04

Win to Nil

16%

Swansea

6.12

5%

Portsmouth

19.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 11.7 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 5.1 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.618
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.721
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.223
Swansea attack strength 0.917
Swansea defence strength 1.149
Portsmouth attack strength 0.785
Portsmouth defence strength 1.280
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64