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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

32%

Swansea

3.16

28%

Draw

3.64

41%

Oxford United

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.46

1.32

Oxford United xG

32%
28%
41%
SwanseaDrawOxford United

3.16

32%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

27%

Swansea

3.76

32%

Oxford United

3.10

Win to Nil

8%

Swansea

11.87

13%

Oxford United

7.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 11.3 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.7 12.9 8.5 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.3 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 2.457
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.248
Swansea attack strength 0.862
Swansea defence strength 1.237
Oxford United attack strength 0.858
Oxford United defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64