🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Swansea Win
38%
2.65
28%
3.64
35%
2.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.48
Swansea xG
Total xG
2.88
1.41
Middlesbrough xG
SwanseaDrawMiddlesbrough
2.65
38%
Home win
3.64
28%
Draw
2.88
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.68
40%
BTTS No
2.48
Clean Sheet
24%
4.09
23%
4.38
Win to Nil
9%
10.83
8%
12.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 11.6 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.476
λ Away (xG)
1.408
Total xG
2.884
League avg home goals
1.422
League avg away goals
1.215
Swansea attack strength
1.061
Swansea defence strength
0.990
Middlesbrough attack strength
1.170
Middlesbrough defence strength
0.978
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
46 / 46