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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

31%

Swansea

3.23

29%

Draw

3.44

40%

Middlesbrough

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.60

1.40

Middlesbrough xG

31%
29%
40%
SwanseaDrawMiddlesbrough

3.23

31%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

25%

Swansea

4.05

30%

Middlesbrough

3.33

Win to Nil

8%

Swansea

13.09

12%

Middlesbrough

8.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.4 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 8.9 12.5 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.4 7.5 5.3 2.4 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.204
λ Away (xG) 1.398
Total xG 2.602
League avg home goals 1.306
League avg away goals 1.191
Swansea attack strength 1.033
Swansea defence strength 0.951
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.235
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.893
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86