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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

67%

Swansea

1.50

21%

Draw

4.80

12%

Luton

8.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Swansea xG

Total xG

3.10

0.88

Luton xG

67%
21%
12%
SwanseaDrawLuton

1.50

67%

Home win

4.80

21%

Draw

8.08

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

42%

Swansea

2.40

11%

Luton

9.21

Win to Nil

28%

Swansea

3.60

1%

Luton

74.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.0 8.8 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 11.1 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 8.2 7.2 3.2 0.9 0.2
4 4.6 4.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
5 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.220
λ Away (xG) 0.877
Total xG 3.097
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.035
Swansea attack strength 1.105
Swansea defence strength 1.179
Luton attack strength 0.719
Luton defence strength 1.407
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 23