Swansea vs Leeds – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
31%
3.22
39%
2.57
30%
3.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
21.5%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
16.7%
Home win
0 – 1
16.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.78
Swansea xG
Total xG
1.54
0.76
Leeds xG
SwanseaDrawLeeds
3.22
31%
Home win
2.57
39%
Draw
3.32
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
45%
Over 1.5
2.22
55%
Under 1.5
1.82
20%
Over 2.5
5.00
80%
Under 2.5
1.25
7%
Over 3.5
14.29
93%
Under 3.5
1.08
2%
Over 4.5
50.00
98%
Under 4.5
1.02
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.32
70%
BTTS No
1.43
Clean Sheet
47%
2.14
46%
2.17
Win to Nil
15%
6.90
14%
7.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.5 | 16.3 | 6.2 | 1.6 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.7 | 12.7 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.777
λ Away (xG)
0.761
Total xG
1.538
League avg home goals
1.328
League avg away goals
1.039
Swansea attack strength
0.780
Swansea defence strength
0.750
Leeds attack strength
0.975
Leeds defence strength
0.750
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
61 / 61