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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

74%

Sunderland

1.34

17%

Draw

5.82

8%

Portsmouth

11.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.1%

Home win

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.46

Sunderland xG

Total xG

3.21

0.74

Portsmouth xG

74%
17%
SunderlandDrawPortsmouth

1.34

74%

Home win

5.82

17%

Draw

11.83

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

48%

Sunderland

2.10

9%

Portsmouth

11.74

Win to Nil

35%

Sunderland

2.82

1%

Portsmouth

138.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.1
2 12.3 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 10.1 7.5 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 6.2 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
5 3.1 2.3 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.463
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 3.205
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.021
Sunderland attack strength 1.118
Sunderland defence strength 0.876
Portsmouth attack strength 0.830
Portsmouth defence strength 1.567
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 23