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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

57%

Sunderland

1.76

28%

Draw

3.62

15%

Norwich

6.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.41

0.76

Norwich xG

57%
28%
15%
SunderlandDrawNorwich

1.76

57%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

6.46

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

47%

Sunderland

2.14

19%

Norwich

5.19

Win to Nil

27%

Sunderland

3.76

3%

Norwich

33.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.8 11.3 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.2 9.3 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.7 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.646
λ Away (xG) 0.761
Total xG 2.407
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.027
Sunderland attack strength 1.047
Sunderland defence strength 0.858
Norwich attack strength 0.863
Norwich defence strength 1.140
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67