Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

45%

Sunderland

2.24

29%

Draw

3.45

26%

Millwall

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.19

0.91

Millwall xG

45%
29%
26%
SunderlandDrawMillwall

2.24

45%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

40%

Sunderland

2.49

28%

Millwall

3.58

Win to Nil

18%

Sunderland

5.60

7%

Millwall

13.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 10.2 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 13.1 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.3 3.8 1.2 0.3
3 3.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.276
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 2.190
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.024
Sunderland attack strength 1.021
Sunderland defence strength 0.981
Millwall attack strength 0.910
Millwall defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 84 / 84