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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Wed 12 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

64%

Sunderland

1.57

21%

Draw

4.76

15%

Luton

6.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.88

0.88

Luton xG

64%
21%
15%
SunderlandDrawLuton

1.57

64%

Home win

4.76

21%

Draw

6.47

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

42%

Sunderland

2.40

13%

Luton

7.45

Win to Nil

26%

Sunderland

3.78

2%

Luton

48.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.2 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.9 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 7.5 6.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 3.8 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 0.877
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.053
Sunderland attack strength 1.064
Sunderland defence strength 1.020
Luton attack strength 0.817
Luton defence strength 1.409
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 30