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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

43%

Sunderland

2.32

29%

Draw

3.49

28%

Coventry

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.21

0.96

Coventry xG

43%
29%
28%
SunderlandDrawCoventry

2.32

43%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

38%

Sunderland

2.60

29%

Coventry

3.50

Win to Nil

17%

Sunderland

6.03

8%

Coventry

12.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.5 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.2 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.2 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.4 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.254
λ Away (xG) 0.956
Total xG 2.210
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.028
Sunderland attack strength 0.797
Sunderland defence strength 0.949
Coventry attack strength 0.979
Coventry defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92