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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 10 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

53%

Sunderland

1.87

28%

Draw

3.61

19%

Bristol City

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.46

0.86

Bristol City xG

53%
28%
19%
SunderlandDrawBristol City

1.87

53%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

42%

Sunderland

2.37

20%

Bristol City

4.95

Win to Nil

23%

Sunderland

4.43

4%

Bristol City

26.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 13.7 11.8 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.4 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.8 5.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.041
Sunderland attack strength 1.130
Sunderland defence strength 0.825
Bristol City attack strength 1.002
Bristol City defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65