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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

45%

Stoke City

2.23

25%

Draw

3.93

30%

West Brom

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.69

1.18

West Brom xG

45%
25%
30%
Stoke CityDrawWest Brom

2.23

45%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

31%

Stoke City

3.25

22%

West Brom

4.53

Win to Nil

14%

Stoke City

7.26

7%

West Brom

15.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.0 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.510
λ Away (xG) 1.180
Total xG 2.690
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.148
Stoke City attack strength 1.134
Stoke City defence strength 0.957
West Brom attack strength 1.074
West Brom defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49