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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Watford Win
35%
2.82
27%
3.74
38%
2.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
9.3%
Away win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.32
Stoke City xG
Total xG
2.69
1.37
Watford xG
Stoke CityDrawWatford
2.82
35%
Home win
3.74
27%
Draw
2.64
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.82
45%
BTTS No
2.22
Clean Sheet
25%
3.93
27%
3.73
Win to Nil
9%
11.08
10%
9.87
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.3 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.1 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.317
λ Away (xG)
1.368
Total xG
2.685
League avg home goals
1.364
League avg away goals
1.045
Stoke City attack strength
0.868
Stoke City defence strength
1.128
Watford attack strength
1.161
Watford defence strength
1.113
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
80 / 80