🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stoke City Win
57%
1.77
25%
3.97
18%
5.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
2 – 0
11.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.67
Stoke City xG
Total xG
2.51
0.84
Swansea xG
Stoke CityDrawSwansea
1.77
57%
Home win
3.97
25%
Draw
5.50
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.14
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
19%
5.33
Win to Nil
24%
4.09
3%
29.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 13.6 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.3 | 9.5 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.673
λ Away (xG)
0.840
Total xG
2.513
League avg home goals
1.376
League avg away goals
1.205
Stoke City attack strength
1.103
Stoke City defence strength
0.831
Swansea attack strength
0.839
Swansea defence strength
1.102
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66