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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

28%

Stoke City

3.63

28%

Draw

3.55

44%

Sunderland

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.73

1.55

Sunderland xG

28%
28%
44%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland

3.63

28%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

21%

Stoke City

4.69

31%

Sunderland

3.25

Win to Nil

6%

Stoke City

17.02

14%

Sunderland

7.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 10.1 7.8 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.7 11.9 9.2 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.6 7.0 5.4 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 1.8 2.8 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.180
λ Away (xG) 1.546
Total xG 2.726
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.035
Stoke City attack strength 0.919
Stoke City defence strength 1.267
Sunderland attack strength 1.179
Sunderland defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69