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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stoke City Win
48%
2.09
28%
3.64
25%
4.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Stoke City xG
Total xG
2.67
1.08
Southampton xG
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
2.09
48%
Home win
3.64
28%
Draw
4.07
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.17
Clean Sheet
34%
2.95
20%
4.91
Win to Nil
16%
6.16
5%
19.95
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.591
λ Away (xG)
1.082
Total xG
2.673
League avg home goals
1.360
League avg away goals
1.158
Stoke City attack strength
0.892
Stoke City defence strength
0.879
Southampton attack strength
1.063
Southampton defence strength
1.312
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
75 / 29