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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

66%

Stoke City

1.51

21%

Draw

4.74

13%

Sheffield Wednesday

7.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.13

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.96

0.84

Sheffield Wednesday xG

66%
21%
13%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday

1.51

66%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

7.86

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

43%

Stoke City

2.31

12%

Sheffield Wednesday

8.38

Win to Nil

29%

Stoke City

3.49

2%

Sheffield Wednesday

65.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 9.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
2 11.7 9.8 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 8.3 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.126
λ Away (xG) 0.837
Total xG 2.963
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.180
Stoke City attack strength 1.139
Stoke City defence strength 1.080
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 0.657
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.438
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85