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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

38%

Stoke City

2.66

26%

Draw

3.87

37%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.70

1.34

Sheffield Wednesday xG

38%
26%
37%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday

2.66

38%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

26%

Stoke City

3.82

26%

Sheffield Wednesday

3.90

Win to Nil

10%

Stoke City

10.15

9%

Sheffield Wednesday

10.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.0 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.1 12.3 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.2 8.3 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.8 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 2.699
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 0.993
Stoke City attack strength 0.947
Stoke City defence strength 1.028
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 1.312
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.137
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88