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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

45%

Stoke City

2.23

28%

Draw

3.63

28%

Preston

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.60

1.11

Preston xG

45%
28%
28%
Stoke CityDrawPreston

2.23

45%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.64

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Stoke City

3.04

23%

Preston

4.42

Win to Nil

15%

Stoke City

6.78

6%

Preston

16.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.3 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.1 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.165
Stoke City attack strength 1.126
Stoke City defence strength 0.859
Preston attack strength 1.111
Preston defence strength 0.943
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68