Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

72%

Stoke City

1.38

19%

Draw

5.19

8%

Plymouth

11.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

3 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.76

0.61

Plymouth xG

72%
19%
Stoke CityDrawPlymouth

1.38

72%

Home win

5.19

19%

Draw

11.90

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

54%

Stoke City

1.84

12%

Plymouth

8.58

Win to Nil

39%

Stoke City

2.54

1%

Plymouth

102.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 3.9 1.2 0.2
1 13.6 8.3 2.5 0.5 0.1
2 14.7 8.9 2.7 0.5 0.1
3 10.5 6.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 5.6 3.4 1.0 0.2
5 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.150
λ Away (xG) 0.608
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.012
Stoke City attack strength 0.920
Stoke City defence strength 1.164
Plymouth attack strength 0.516
Plymouth defence strength 1.649
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 70