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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

50%

Stoke City

2.01

29%

Draw

3.40

21%

Oxford United

4.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.21

0.81

Oxford United xG

50%
29%
21%
Stoke CityDrawOxford United

2.01

50%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

4.80

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

44%

Stoke City

2.25

25%

Oxford United

4.04

Win to Nil

22%

Stoke City

4.54

5%

Oxford United

19.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.9 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 15.3 12.5 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.7 8.7 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 5.0 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.396
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 2.209
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.032
Stoke City attack strength 0.837
Stoke City defence strength 1.087
Oxford United attack strength 0.724
Oxford United defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 28