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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

33%

Stoke City

3.04

30%

Draw

3.35

37%

Norwich

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.11

1.10

Norwich xG

33%
30%
37%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich

3.04

33%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.35

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

33%

Stoke City

3.00

36%

Norwich

2.76

Win to Nil

11%

Stoke City

9.12

14%

Norwich

7.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 13.3 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 12.3 13.5 7.4 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 6.2 6.8 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.014
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.113
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.176
Stoke City attack strength 0.954
Stoke City defence strength 0.869
Norwich attack strength 1.075
Norwich defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52