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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

30%

Stoke City

3.31

31%

Draw

3.23

39%

Millwall

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.42

1.30

Millwall xG

30%
31%
39%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall

3.31

30%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

27%

Stoke City

3.67

32%

Millwall

3.08

Win to Nil

8%

Stoke City

12.15

13%

Millwall

7.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 11.5 7.5 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.6 7.3 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.1 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.124
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 2.425
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.170
Stoke City attack strength 1.113
Stoke City defence strength 1.030
Millwall attack strength 1.080
Millwall defence strength 0.796
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89