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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 21 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

43%

Stoke City

2.33

29%

Draw

3.39

28%

Middlesbrough

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.30

1.00

Middlesbrough xG

43%
29%
28%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough

2.33

43%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Stoke City

2.71

27%

Middlesbrough

3.70

Win to Nil

16%

Stoke City

6.30

7%

Middlesbrough

13.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.9 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 13.0 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.5 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.7 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.308
λ Away (xG) 0.996
Total xG 2.304
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.144
Stoke City attack strength 0.930
Stoke City defence strength 0.809
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.076
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73