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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stoke City Win
60%
1.66
23%
4.34
17%
5.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
13.5%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.9%
Home win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Stoke City xG
Total xG
2.57
0.81
Luton xG
Stoke CityDrawLuton
1.66
60%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
5.96
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
73%
Over 1.5
1.37
27%
Under 1.5
3.70
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
26%
Over 3.5
3.85
74%
Under 3.5
1.35
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
45%
2.24
17%
5.84
Win to Nil
27%
3.72
3%
34.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 13.5 | 10.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.9 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.0 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.765
λ Away (xG)
0.807
Total xG
2.572
League avg home goals
1.305
League avg away goals
0.996
Stoke City attack strength
0.959
Stoke City defence strength
1.019
Luton attack strength
0.795
Luton defence strength
1.411
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
86 / 40