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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

45%

Southampton

2.25

28%

Draw

3.63

28%

Wrexham

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.34

1.00

Wrexham xG

45%
28%
28%
SouthamptonDrawWrexham

2.25

45%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

37%

Southampton

2.72

26%

Wrexham

3.83

Win to Nil

16%

Southampton

6.12

7%

Wrexham

13.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 9.6 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 12.9 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 8.7 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 1.002
Total xG 2.344
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.025
Southampton attack strength 0.850
Southampton defence strength 1.150
Wrexham attack strength 0.850
Wrexham defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 0