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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 9 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

53%

Southampton

1.89

25%

Draw

4.02

22%

West Brom

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.61

0.97

West Brom xG

53%
25%
22%
SouthamptonDrawWest Brom

1.89

53%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

38%

Southampton

2.65

19%

West Brom

5.15

Win to Nil

20%

Southampton

5.01

4%

West Brom

23.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.1 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.0 11.7 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.6 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.639
λ Away (xG) 0.974
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.223
Southampton attack strength 1.041
Southampton defence strength 0.948
West Brom attack strength 0.840
West Brom defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 65