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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

49%

Southampton

2.05

30%

Draw

3.30

21%

Oxford United

4.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.20

0.82

Oxford United xG

49%
30%
21%
SouthamptonDrawOxford United

2.05

49%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.76

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

44%

Southampton

2.28

25%

Oxford United

3.98

Win to Nil

21%

Southampton

4.67

5%

Oxford United

18.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 9.1 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 15.3 12.5 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.5 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.8 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 0.822
Total xG 2.203
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.177
Southampton attack strength 1.105
Southampton defence strength 0.772
Oxford United attack strength 0.905
Oxford United defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 84