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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 18 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

36%

Southampton

2.79

29%

Draw

3.40

35%

Norwich

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.52

1.25

Norwich xG

36%
29%
35%
SouthamptonDrawNorwich

2.79

36%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

29%

Southampton

3.49

28%

Norwich

3.56

Win to Nil

10%

Southampton

9.75

10%

Norwich

10.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.0 6.3 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.8 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 8.1 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.250
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.299
League avg away goals 1.195
Southampton attack strength 1.122
Southampton defence strength 0.848
Norwich attack strength 1.233
Norwich defence strength 0.872
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 83